Monday, August 8, 2016
Friday, August 5, 2016
The small caps have taken the field following an institutional overcommitment in large-cap, high-dividend stocks. This is confirmed by a run in the Russell 2000, which is up 5.4% since the end of June compared to 3.1% for the S&P 500. And small and mid caps outperformed eight of the 10 S&P sectors in July.
It seems that since the Fed is loath to raise rates, investors have taken a more aggressive approach. In other words, risk is back on.
Monday, August 1, 2016
It appears that following a major run-up in big-cap, high dividend stocks, investors have turned to the higher dividend small- and mid-cap stocks. While IWM has some serious overhead (i.e., potential sellers) to contend with since its high was made in mid-2015, MDY is in the clear.
Expect new highs in the mid-cap stocks with mild resistance from the small caps. One of the most visual characteristics of a bull market is group rotation, and that has been the most prevalent feature of the July advance.