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Sunday, May 8, 2016

THIS WEEK'S MARKET MOVERS

Monday May 9	Tuesday May 10	Wednesday May 11	Thursday May 12	Friday May 13
Market Focus » International Perspective » Simply Economics » Charles Evans Speaks 5:10 AM ET Labor Market Conditions Index 10:00 AM ET 4-Week Bill Announcement 11:00 AM ET 3-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM ET 6-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM ET TD Ameritrade IMX 12:30 PM ET Neel Kashkari Speaks 1:00 PM ET	NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 6:00 AM ET Redbook 8:55 AM ET JOLTS 10:00 AM ET Wholesale Trade 10:00 AM ET 4-Week Bill Auction 11:30 AM ET 3-Yr Note Auction 1:00 PM ET	MBA Mortgage Applications 7:00 AM ET EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET 10-Yr Note Auction 1:00 PM ET Treasury Budget 2:00 PM ET	Weekly Bill Settlement Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET Import and Export Prices 8:30 AM ET Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index 9:45 AM ET EIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ET 10-Yr TIPS Announcement 11:00 AM ET 3-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM ET Loretta Mester Speaks 11:00 AM ET 6-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM ET Eric Rosengren Speaks 11:45 AM ET 30-Yr Bond Auction 1:00 PM ET Esther George Speaks 2:15 PM ET Fed Balance Sheet 4:30 PM ET Money Supply 4:30 PM ET	Retail Sales 8:30 AM ET PPI-FD 8:30 AM ET Business Inventories 10:00 AM ET Consumer Sentiment 10:00 AM ET Baker-Hughes Rig Count 1:00 PM ET John Williams Speaks 6:45 PM ET

Friday, May 6, 2016

Small caps, dominated by technology stocks, have a more serious problem than the mid caps. However, it is clearly time to take profits and initiate protective strategies.

Aggressive traders should consider shorting or buying put options on high-P/E technology stocks. More conservative investors may still find bargains in the higher-yielding defensive sectors like utilities.

Thursday, May 5, 2016

Although the higher-quality stocks are comparably stronger, the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 led most of last year's powerful move to new highs. Now they are victims of profit-taking, poor earnings and a fearful public — a recipe for lower prices.

The January/February lows are not yet in jeopardy. But May is upon us and, whether or not you believe in "Sell in May and go away," stocks were under broad selling pressure Wednesday that was increased by weaker-than-expected economic data.

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

It has been an epic melt-up since the bears exhausted themselves in February. But given the structural, cyclical, seasonal and technical headwinds we face, traders are likely better off selling into this rally.

Longer-term investors should wait for much lower levels before legging back into quality growth stocks.

At the very least, I think the S&P 500 will retest its February lows near 1,800. But a decline to the 1,600 to 1,700 area is probable before a continuation of this secular bull market can take hold.

Monday, May 2, 2016

THIS WEEK'S MARKET MOVERS

Monday May 2	Tuesday May 3	Wednesday May 4	Thursday May 5	Friday May 6
Market Focus » International Perspective » Simply Economics » Gallup US Consumer Spending Measure 8:30 AM ET Dennis Lockhart Speaks 8:50 AM ET PMI Manufacturing Index 9:45 AM ET ISM Mfg Index 10:00 AM ET Construction Spending 10:00 AM ET 4-Week Bill Announcement 11:00 AM ET 3-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM ET 6-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM ET John Williams Speaks 5:30 PM ET	Motor Vehicle Sales Gallup US ECI 8:30 AM ET Redbook 8:55 AM ET Loretta Mester Speaks 10:30 AM ET 4-Week Bill Auction 11:30 AM ET Dennis Lockhart Speaks 7:00 PM ET	MBA Mortgage Applications 7:00 AM ET ADP Employment Report 8:15 AM ET 10-Yr Note Announcement 8:30 AM ET International Trade 8:30 AM ET Productivity and Costs 8:30 AM ET Gallup U.S. Job Creation Index 8:30 AM ET Treasury Refunding Announcement 8:30 AM ET 3-Yr Note Announcement 8:30 AM ET 30-Yr Bond Announcement 8:30 AM ET PMI Services Index 9:45 AM ET Factory Orders 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Mfg Index 10:00 AM ET EIA Petroleum Status Report 10:30 AM ET Neel Kashkari Speaks 5:30 PM ET	Weekly Bill Settlement Chain Store Sales Challenger Job-Cut Report 7:30 AM ET Jobless Claims 8:30 AM ET Gallup Good Jobs Rate 8:30 AM ET Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index 9:45 AM ET EIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ET 3-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM ET 6-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM ET Fed Balance Sheet 4:30 PM ET Money Supply 4:30 PM ET Speech 7:15 PM ET	Employment Situation 8:30 AM ET Baker-Hughes Rig Count 1:00 PM ET Consumer Credit 3:00 PM ET Treasury STRIPS 3:00 PM ET

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