Friday, January 15, 2010

UPDATE - The $SPY tested 115 and sold off remaining in the 115/113 Stage 3 channel. Our position is in profit and the Greeks look good.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

TRADING SYSTEM SIGNAL - OPEN FEB POSITION
Our "window of opportunity" is beginning to open up and it's time to initiate our February position. It's a new year and with it comes the hope that the economic recovery will be confirmed by the guidance from the 4th quarter earnings announcements to come out over the next 2 or 3 weeks. Just in case things aren't as rosey as the Market has priced in we'll make sure our position is properly hedged to protect us from a downside earnings season surprise. Volatility has come down to more comfortable levels with the VIX closing under 18 on the 11th. But we'll stick with our Calendar and Butterfly strategies in case the apple cart gets upset.
We are in a Market Structure Stage 2 on the Daily Chart, and a Stage 3 consolidation occurring on the 30m Chart. So we'll set up for business with a Calendar Spread at the 114 strike:
Open - 6 Mar/Feb 114 SPY Call Calendars for about $0.98
Hedge the Calendars:
Open - 1 Feb 108 SPY Put at about $0.98 (1 covers 6 Calendars)

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Conditions are beginning to form for the opening of our February Income Spread Position. http://ping.fm/UjLLm

Saturday, January 9, 2010

Head's Up! Next week we'll start monitoring the Market for an entry signal for our February Income Spread position. http://ping.fm/wSQbj

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

THIS MONTH'S POSITION

Due to Christmas vacation no position will be posted this month. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

TRADING SYSTEM SIGNAL - CLOSE DEC POSITION

It's possible to close our position for about a 10% profit today. So, I think we'll take advantage of the volatility rush caused by today's down move and head for the sidelines:

Calendar Spread:

Close - 6 Jan/Dec 111 SPY Call Calendars for about $1.22 each

Hedge the Calendars:
Close - 1 Dec 105 Put at about $0.40

Thursday, December 3, 2009

UPDATE

The SPY continues to trade in a channel with support at 109 and resistance at 111.75. Our trade is in good shape now but a close outside this range either way would call for adjusting the position. With the December jobs number coming out tomorrow that could happen soon.
 

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